The 10% Club: Opta’s Best Under-the-Radar FPL Picks for Gameweek 30 ...Middle East

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Who are the best under-the-radar players to add to your Fantasy Premier League team for Gameweek 30 of 2025-26? We assess the Opta data to reveal our top picks.

There are two more gameweeks before the next international break. Or there are for every team aside from Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Wolves, thanks to the Carabao Cup final. Should you now avoid their players until next month? Let’s find out.

We’ve crunched the Opta data to identify five players you absolutely must consider owning on your Wildcard, despite them currently being picked by fewer than 10% of FPL managers.

GK – Bernd Leno | 4.9m | 1.5% Ownership

Fulham are the very definition of mid-table this season, not least because they start the weekend in 10th position. With 12 more points they’d be third, with 12 fewer they’d be level with West Ham in the relegation zone.

Defeat to Southampton in the FA Cup last weekend means optimistic hopes of European qualification is all that remains for them in 2025-26. But with Marco Silva yet to commit to the Cottagers past the end of the season, the players are perhaps also playing for their very futures at the club.

Wherever their motivation lies, Fulham are at Nottingham Forest this weekend to face the second-lowest scoring team in the Premier League. They have a decent record in the head-to-head, having won the last three meetings with a single goal conceded. Forest play in the Europa League on Thursday, too.

This all bodes well for Bernd Leno. He’s had a better season than his side’s relative lack of clean sheets suggests. Fulham haven’t conceded more than once in their last five matches in all competitions. Among goalkeepers in under 10% of FPL teams, only Dean Henderson (19) and Dordje Petrovic (18) have saved more non-penalty big chances than Leno (16).

Fulham host Burnley, another goal-averse side, next weekend. A couple of clean sheets from Leno might help them end the campaign heading in the right direction.

DEF – Ferdi Kadioglu | 4.4m | 0.3% Ownership

Brighton haven’t kept anywhere near as many clean sheets as they’d like this season, but that could be about to change.

Fabian Hürzeler’s men are off to Sunderland this weekend. While the Black Cats have a decent record scoring at home this season, they have only scored a penalty across their last two matches at the Stadium of Light. They also failed to find the net when they faced the Seagulls earlier this season.

Sunderland have also only kept two home clean sheets against sides currently outside the relegation zone. They could be good opponents at both ends of the pitch for Ferdi Kadioglu. His passes this season have been worth 2.37 expected assists, which is second for Brighton behind Yankuba Minteh (2.85).

However, none of those passes have ended up assisting a goal. Only Brentford’s Michael Kayode (2.45 xA) has delivered as much xA without assisting a Premier League goal in 2025-26.

After their clash with Sunderland, Brighton host Liverpool. A harder game in theory, but the Reds may not be all that fresh given they will have to put plenty of effort into overturning their first-leg loss to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday.

They should be tired, and possibly demoralised if the result goes against them, while the champions have struggled for clean sheets all season. Kadioglu’s first assist of 2025-26 could be on the horizon.

MID – Mathias Jensen | 4.9m | 0.1% Ownership

Opta has a metric called big chances. These are defined as shots where “a player should reasonably be expected to score, usually in a one on one scenario or from very close range when the ball has a clear path to goal and there is low to moderate pressure on the shooter.”

These are your golden opportunities, the ones where the striker is clean through and Alan Shearer gets exasperated on Match of the Day if the ball doesn’t hit the net. “He has to score that”, etc.

Across the last 10 matchdays, Brentford midfielder Mathias Jensen has created eight of them without a single one resulting in an assist. Only Bruno Fernandes has set up more big chances in this period (14), but he will cost over twice as much should you wish to add him to your FPL team.

Jensen has generated 3.90 expected assists this season, which puts him just 0.06 behind the Bees’ top man for this stat, Mikkel Damsgaard. However, the latter has four assists whereas the former has just one.

It could be time for Brentford’s finishing to catch up with Jensen’s creativity. They host Wolves this week, then travel to Leeds after that. You could even look further ahead to the first two games after the international break, with Everton and Fulham visiting the Gtech Community Stadium. Those aren’t the toughest assignments either.

But even in the much shorter term, Igor Thiago and his fellow attackers need to reward Jensen’s creative endeavours.

MID – Marcus Tavernier | 5.3m | 1.7% Ownership

This column recently selected Dango Ouattara because Brentford were away at Burnley. He duly delivered an assist before 10 minutes had elapsed. While we will be lucky to see an exact repeat of that, we’re picking Marcus Tavernier for essentially the same reason.

Bournemouth are at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon. Andoni Iraola’s side have scored seven Opta-defined fast break goals in the Premier League this season, the third most. They should be able to use this against a Burnley side who are ranked joint-third for conceding in that manner (having done so five times).

There’s a decent likelihood Tavernier will collect a goal contribution. He’s the match’s top player for predicted assists on Opta’s model, for starters, with 0.20. Tavernier has also carried a goal threat throughout the campaign, with his 6.72 expected goals second only to Evanilson (7.39) for the Cherries.  

Having scored five goals, the midfielder looks due a goal. Tavernier had chances collectively valued at 1.37 expected goals in the last match (against Brentford) alone – his highest xG in a Premier League game across his career. With Man Utd visiting the Vitality Stadium next weekend having only kept one away clean sheet all season, it could be a profitable fortnight for Tavernier.

FWD – Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 5.7m | 9.0% Ownership

Have you noticed that there aren’t many forwards in hot form at the moment? Only three have scored more than twice across the last four gameweeks.

João Pedro has five goals in that time but is in almost half of all FPL teams so is not wildcard eligible. Benjamin Sesko (three) featured in this column for the last round of fixtures and we like to mix things up. Jørgen Strand Larsen’s three goals have come from just 0.75 xG, so don’t be surprised if he hits a dry spell soon.

We could look for the forward most due to score. Igor Thiago has only scored one of his previous 12 shots, missing three big chances along the way. He also ranks highly on the aforementioned Premier League Player Stat Predictions Table for goals this week, as do Hugo Ekitiké, João Pedro, Viktor Gyökeres and Erling Haaland. But they are all too popular to make the 10% club. Sorry, lads.

We’ll have to take a bit of a risk here and select Dominic Calvert-Lewin. He missed Leeds’ FA Cup win over Norwich last week through injury but has said he’s available to return. Assuming he plays, there are reasons for optimism.

Firstly, he has amassed the fifth-highest xG total in the division (10.5), scoring 10 times. Like Thiago, he has missed three of his previous four big chances, so has been having decent opportunities in recent weeks even though he hasn’t scored many goals.

And as Leeds are playing a UEFA Conference League-distracted Crystal Palace this week, Calvert-Lewin should get more chances to score. Fingers crossed he is as fit as he claims, because he will start if he is.

*FPL player values and ownership data accurate as of 12 March 2026

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