Even when a pitcher expresses confidence that his UCL is all right, you just can’t ever NOT be nervous when he’s feeling something in his elbow and has to go get an MRI. Especially when that pitcher, it turns out, was feeling something late last year, and then it came back in Spring Training.
Unfortunately for the Cincinnati Reds, that pitcher is Hunter Greene, and that MRI did not come up entirely clean:
Cincinnati Reds right-hander Hunter Greene, who was expected to be the team's ace this season, will have an arthroscopic procedure Wednesday to remove bone chips from his right elbow and is not expected to return until July. t.co/h8MdKOatnC
— ESPN (@espn) March 10, 2026Arthroscopic surgery to remove bone chips is NOT the same as a reconstructive procedure in the elbow, so that’s gotta be the comfort today for Reds fans.
But it’s cold comfort, because (1) Hunter Greene will nevertheless miss upwards of half of the season or more, and (2) there’s no guarantee he comes back this season feeling completely like himself and ready to dominate.
It’s a blow for a should-be-competitive Reds team that has a strong rotation otherwise. As I wrote before when this first came up:
If you were creating a list of individual players whose success in 2026 would be disproportionately important to his team in the NL Central, I don’t know that I’d say Cincinnati Reds righty Hunter Greene would be at the very top of that list, but he’d be somewhere in the top ten.
That’s because Greene, 26, has true ace upside, and pitches for a team that projects to have a really high variance in possible outcomes. If he were to finally stay healthy and really break out the way everyone knows is plausible for him, you’d be talking about a single player moving the needle four or five wins on a team where that might be the difference ….
The Reds project to have a strong rotation, with Greene joined by top prospect Chase Burns, lefty Nick Lodolo, annoying-effective Andrew Abbott, Rhett Lowder, Brady Singer, and more depth from there. It could still be a good group even if Greene has to miss time, but, like I said, he was the guy who has the physical ability to truly explode and transform the group. He might never be Paul Skenes – no one not named Tarik Skubal is – but Greene has the talent to be right behind him as one of the best pitchers in the NL.
I expect Reds fans are holding their breaths today, and other NL Central teams will be watching closely. As we’ve discussed many times, the race in the division is NOT just the Cubs and Brewers. The Reds and Pirates have a lot of talent.
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