It still could be the case that the Chicago Cubs will face Miles Mikolas during the regular season’s opening series, but I’d been hoping the Cubs could celebrate Opening Day by repeating their 800-homer performances against him.
Alas, it will instead be 27-year-old Cade Cavalli getting the March 26 nod after his long journey back to the big leagues:
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— Ryan Shenker (@RyanShenker) March 9, 2026Cavalli was the Nationals’ first round pick in 2020, and barely a year later he was at Triple-A. Just a year after that, he was in the big leagues. Unfortunately, the following spring, he blew out his elbow and lost the 2023 season to Tommy John surgery. Double unfortunately, he didn’t come back well the next year, and lost most of 2024, as well. He managed to work his way back up through the minors to the big leagues in 2025, with mixed results over 10 starts with the Nationals (4.25 ERA, 4.53 FIP, 18.3% K, 6.8% BB, 54.8% GB, 4.4% barrel, 41.3% hard). He managed contact very well, but obviously didn’t strike many out.
All that said, Cavalli is big and strong, and throws really hard. A guy like him, with his prospect pedigree, now a further year removed from surgery and with another offseason to put in work after seeing what the big leagues were like? You could absolutely see him taking a big step forward in 2026. Hopefully it won’t come until after his first start. Of note, Cavalli throws a naturally-cutting four-seamer, as well as a cutter and a changeup (plus the curveball and sinker), so he was quite a bit more successful against lefties last year than righties. Maybe that’s just a small sample artifact, and maybe I’m just desperate to start thinking about the nitty gritty of real games that matter.
If Cade Horton gets the opener for the Cubs, by the way, it would be an All-Oklahoman-Starter-Named-Cade game.
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