Harry Wilson is in the form of his life, and Fulham have surged into the top half of the Premier League as a result. How long can he keep his remarkable run up?
According to Harry Wilson, the reason for his exceptional recent run of form lies in a pair of laces.
“A couple of months ago, one of my laces had completely split, and at half-time, the kitman only had one spare lace left,” the Fulham midfielder said after last week’s win over Chelsea. “So now, the lace in my right boot is a little bit longer than the one on the left. I think that’s when my good run started.
“When you get into a good moment of good form, scoring, assisting and the team is doing well, I like to keep everything the same. I feel I can’t change now.”
Quite how much impact this particular superstition has had on Wilson’s output is impossible to say for certain, but he is clearly teeming with confidence at the moment. And if his boots are helping him feel good and maintain his goalscoring run, then who are we to question it?
After all, his strike in last weekend’s 3-1 win over Middlesbrough in the FA Cup took him to eight goals in all competitions for the season, in addition to his tally of five assists. With 11 of those goal involvements coming in the Premier League, by mid-January, 2025-26 is already his most prolific campaign in the top flight.
Those numbers are helped by a magnificent run over the past six weeks. Since the start of December, no Premier League player has more goals and assists in all competitions than him (10 – five goals, five assists).
He is scoring important goals against strong opponents, too. Only two of his goal involvements have come in defeats – against Manchester City and Crystal Palace – and seven of them have come in draws or single-goal victories. In fact, take Wilson’s goal contributions away, and Fulham would have 10 fewer points. You could argue he is the reason they are in the top half of the table, only four points off the top four.
His importance to this team cannot be overstated, which isn’t something that we’ve always been able to say of the Welshman. Now 28 years of age, Wilson is showing the best form of his career, and he is playing more football as a result.
Injuries have always played a part, including missing three months in the middle of last season with a broken foot, but ever since Fulham have been in the top tier, Wilson has struggled to establish himself as a key figure in the team.
He was integral in 2021-22 while on loan from Liverpool, scoring 10 goals and adding 19 assists in 41 Championship appearances as Fulham stormed to promotion. But in the years since, he has only sporadically been a key player.
In his first three seasons with the club after promotion (from 2022-23 onwards), he made 49 of his 89 appearances from the bench (53.9%). Only five players made more substitute appearances than him in that time. Over those three seasons, there were only three occasions on which he started more than three Premier League games in a row (within a single season), and only once did he start more than five in a row. Even though he was available most of the time, he never played more than 49% of the possible game time.
This season, things have been very different. He already has more Premier League starts (18) than in any other season for the club, and he ranks third among Fulham’s outfielders for minutes played (1,511). Wilson has made the spot on the right wing his own.
He carries most of his threat through cutting inside, onto his stronger left foot, and whipping balls into the box or going for goal himself. He has always had the ability to score special goals, but this season he has taken things to another level. Most players would be happy with a highlights reel for their whole career as good as Wilson’s in 2025-26.
Every one of his seven Premier League goals this season has both required and displayed his incredible technical ability. Three of them – a swept finish against Brentford, his opportunistic strike from the touchline at Spurs (below), and his wonderful give-and-go with Raúl Jiménez followed by a beautiful, deft, outside-of-the-boot finish against Palace – all made the shortlist for their respective goal of the month competitions. The latter, scored in December, may yet win the award.
A rather less romantic way of analysing just how special his strikes have been is through expected goals.
Wilson has scored his seven goals from just 3.8 xG. Only three players having outscored their non-penalty xG by a larger margin than his +3.2 in the Premier League this season (Antoine Semenyo +3.9, Bruno Guimarães +3.9, and Morgan Rogers +3.6).
What this shows is that Wilson, like those other three players, who are all excelling this season, is finishing off chances significantly more efficiently than most would. An average Premier League player would be expected to have scored around four goals from the shots Wilson’s has had.
His xG map shows that he almost exclusively has low-xG shots – but doing so hasn’t hindered his goalscoring. And another metric can show us exactly why that is.
Expected goals on target (xGOT) measures the likelihood of an on-target shot resulting in a goal, based on the difficulty of the original shot – its xG – and the end location of the shot in the goalmouth. Shots that end up in the corners and are therefore (usually) likelier to result in a goal are worth a higher xGOT value than those that go straight down the middle.
We can look at the difference between xG (the chance of scoring before shooting) and xGOT (the chance of scoring after shooting) to put a value on the finishing quality of a player or team. Anyone with a higher xGOT than xG is executing better shots than the quality of the chances they have had.
It just so happens that Wilson is way out in front of all Premier League players this season for this difference, having produced 7.8 xGOT from his 3.8 xG; his difference of +4.0 is by a distance the highest in the Premier League this season (Bruno Guimarães is second with +2.5).
A graphic showing where his shots on target have reached the goal shows just how clinical he has been. Almost all have hit the corners, and the one goal that went down the middle was his quick-thinking strike against Spurs with keeper Guglielmo Vicario stranded way out of his goal.
In a show of just how confident he is at the moment, he even broke new ground against Chelsea last week by scoring his first ever right-footed Premier League goal. And even that was a fine, half-volleyed finish that plenty of players would be proud to score with their stronger foot. Predictably, it went right into the corner of the net (though via a small deflection), leaving Robert Sánchez helpless.
Wilson has always been a scorer of great goals, and he is scoring in higher quantities than ever before, thanks in no small part to his exceptional finishing.
This all means he is catching the eye consistently, but earning the attention of others might not be entirely good news for Fulham. Wilson is into the final few months of his Fulham contract, and manager Marco Silva admitted at the weekend that he is not sure about where the Welshman’s future lies.
“I don’t know if I am going to have him in one week, 15 days, three months or at the end of the season, with good or bad news. I cannot guarantee anything,” he said.
“What I do know, is that he is playing the best football of his career. He is in the best moment of his career. There is no doubt about it.”
If no new contract is agreed before long, there may be a few other clubs who could be interested in picking him up on a free this summer. Wilson’s form this season suggests he could easily have a good few more years at the top left in him.
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It’s Official: Harry Wilson Is the Premier League’s King of Long-Range Bangers Opta Analyst.
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