After last night's Golden Globes, major acting wins for both Timothée Chalamet and Jessie Buckley saw the pair continue their strong momentum as they look to secure Best Actor and Best Actress prizes. Meanwhile, wins for One Battle After Another and Hamnet in the separate Best Film categories (Musical or Comedy and Drama respectively) means many pundits will now be looking at the Best Picture battle as a two-horse race between those two films.
But is it wise to completely rule out some of the other contenders? Well, a look back at previous years suggests there's still plenty of time for things to shift.
View Green Video on the source websiteMeanwhile, despite an extensive list of exceptional performances from a number of big name actresses this year – including Jennifer Lawrence in Die My Love and Amanda Seyfried in The Testament of Ann Lee – Buckley's heart-wrenching turn as Agnes in Hamnet has emerged as the clear frontrunner, already securing wins from a host of critics groups.
But while the Globes can certainly be used as an interesting barometer to forecast where awards might go at the Oscars, this is by no means a full-proof method of predicting. Last year, the film that emerged from the Globes as the most successful was Emilia Perez – which ultimately disappeared from the Best Picture race at the Academy Awards and was also beaten to the Best International Feature honour by Brazilian drama I'm Still Here.
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Golden Globe Awards 2026 winners: Full list of winners from One Battle After Another to Timothée Chalamet and AdolescenceStephen Graham confirms Adolescence follow-up at Golden Globes 2026 – and when fans can expect itIn 2024, despite wins for Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan in the acting categories, Everything Everywhere All At Once was beaten in the Best Musical or Comedy category by The Banshees of Inisherin, while the year prior, eventual Best Picture winner CODA didn't win a single award.
That means of the last five Best Picture winners, only Oppenheimer and Nomadland won their Best Film categories at the Globes, while Parasite, The Shape of Water and Birdman are among the other films from the past decade or so to have won the main prize at the Oscars despite receiving little love from the Hollywood Foreign Press.
With the likes of Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value), Wunmi Mosaku (Sinners) and both Benicio Del Toro and Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) also remaining competitive, it's still anybody's guess who will be picking up Oscar statuettes in a couple of months time. This is perhaps as it should be – different actors being honoured by different awards bodies, rather than the somewhat more boring process of seeing the same stars awarded time and time again.
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