The Chicago Bears could use some home cooking in the postseason.
By winning the NFC North, the Bears guaranteed themselves (and their fans) at least one playoff home game at Soldier Field. More could be on the horizon depending on how things shake out in Week 18 and when the playoffs begin. At a minimum, the Bears will get one home playoff game. But if they want more, the first step in that process would be to secure the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoffs. Should they pull that off (by beating the Lions or with an Eagles loss to the Commanders on Sunday), then the Bears could line up a second home playoff game in the divisional round (if they were to win on wild-card weekend).
We can cross that bridge when we get to it. But in the meantime, I’d like to underscore two reasons why home-field advantage could be invaluable to Chicago’s football team.
Caleb Williams is exponentially better at home
Have you noticed how well Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has played at home?
Chicago’s QB1 has posted the following stat line in home games this season:
130/222 (58.6 pct.) 1,631 yards (233 yards/game) 13 touchdowns (5.8 TD%) 1 interception (0.5 INT%) 99.1 passer rating Caleb Williams drops back to pass against the Giants at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-Imagn ImagesAnd, for the sake of comparison, here are Williams’ road splits in 2025:
180/313 (60.6 pct.) 2,099 yards (233.2 yards/game) 12 touchdowns (3.8 TD%) 5 interceptions (1.6 INT%) 84.1 passer ratingEPISODE NO. 15 OF THE BN BEARS PODCAST IS HERE: Apple | Spotify | YouTube
At the risk of oversimplifying things, the difference between being a quarterback with a 99 passer rating and one with an 84 passer rating is the difference between Dak Prescott (99.9 passer rating in 2025) and Geno Smith (84.7 passer rating this season). Or, to get even more granular, it is roughly the difference between 1995 Erik Kramer (when he set the Bears franchise records with 3,838 passing yards and 29 touchdowns with a 93.5 passer rating) and 2021 Andy Dalton (who finished the year with a 76.9 passer rating).
The Bears defense is better at home than it is on the road
The Bears have given up an average of 30.4 points in road games this season. But on the flip side, this team has allowed just 17.4 points per game at home. To give those numbers some additional juice, the Seattle Seahawks defense allows just 18.1 points per game (which is the second-fewest in the league) while the Dallas Cowboys cough up a league-worst 29.8 points per game. Are you picking up what I’m putting down by sharing the dichotomy of these defenses?
Some notable stats on the Bears’ defense when it plays at home:
Allows just 5.2 yards per play Has given up just 5 rushing touchdowns Opposing quarterbacks have thrown more interceptions (11) than touchdowns (7) while posting a 75.3 passer ratingNow, here are some notable stats on Chicago’s defense when it plays on the road:
Allows 6.7 yards per play Has given up 10 rushing touchdowns and allowed ball carriers to average 5.3 yards per carry Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 8.3 yards per attempt, have more than twice the touchdowns (24) than interceptions (11), and have posted a 105.6 passer ratingWHY THIS CHICAGO BEARS TEAM FEELS DIFFERENT
I don’t know what it is about Soldier Field that makes the Bears’ defense level up in home games, but it needs to be studied and bottled up. Bonus points if someone can figure out what makes the pass rush go off in home games. The Bears’ defense has come up with 22 sacks in seven home games this season. On the road, Chicago’s D was able to muster up only 10 sacks in nine games.
Gervon Dexter Sr. reacts after a tackle against the Giants at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Dinovo-Imagn ImagesIn the end…
To answer the question posed in the headline of this post, having home-field advantage could be quite important to the Bears. This isn’t to say that this team can’t bottle up whatever home cooking it has and take it on the road. But the statistical evidence makes it clear that this team performs better when it is in its home den. So why wouldn’t you try to play your way into getting as many home games as possible? To be clear, I know that having home-field advantage doesn’t lock in a win. However, I’m down to see the Bears take whatever edge they can get this time of year.
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