Can Mikel Arteta’s side take another step towards silverware? We look ahead to Tuesday’s EFL Cup quarter-final clash with our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction and preview.
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: The Key Stats
Arsenal overcame Crystal Palace inside 90 minutes across 70.5% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer. Palace have lost seven of their last eight meetings in all competitions against Arsenal. No player has scored more goals in the EFL Cup than Eddie Nketiah (13) since his competition debut in 2017.Mikel Arteta will hope for the same result when Arsenal host Crystal Palace in a repeat of last season’s EFL Cup quarter-final at the Emirates Stadium.
Gabriel Jesus’ hat-trick saw Arteta’s side get past Palace with a 3-2 win in 2024-25, and they meet again in the last eight of the 2025-26 edition.
Arsenal’s route to this stage has been fairly simple, sweeping aside League One’s Port Vale before a routine home victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in the fourth round. Palace beat rivals Millwall on penalties before an impressive 3-0 win over an admittedly much-changed Liverpool at Anfield.
Having overcome the Premier League champions in the last round, Palace could become only the second team to eliminate both of the previous season’s top two in a single League Cup campaign. West Ham United are the only other side to do so, beating Manchester City and Manchester United in 2021-22.
Oliver Glasner’s men are no strangers to cup success either, having beaten Man City in the FA Cup final last term. They are now preparing to feature in back-to-back EFL Cup quarter-finals for the first time since the 1991-92 and 1992-93 campaigns.
Arsenal will also be looking to win consecutive games against fellow Premier League sides in the competition for the first time since the 2010-11 campaign. They beat Tottenham, Newcastle United and Wigan Athletic in that edition.
The Gunners have triumphed at this stage in their last two attempts, including last season’s victory over Palace. They have had a player score a hat-trick in both those victories – Jesus last season and Eddie Nketiah against Sunderland in 2021-22.
And Arteta may have to watch out for one of those hat-trick heroes coming back to haunt him. Nketiah, who swapped Arsenal for Palace in 2024, has scored more EFL Cup goals (13) than any other player since his competition debut in October 2017.
But Arsenal have another Hale End academy product to call upon. Ethan Nwaneri has scored four goals in five starts in this competition. Since the start of last season, only Diego Gómez and Cody Gakpo (5 each) have scored more than the 18-year-old.
Arsenal head into this quarter-final on the back of a 1-0 victory away to Everton on Saturday night. Viktor Gyökeres‘ penalty proved the difference on Merseyside, meaning Arsenal will spend Christmas two points clear of Man City at the Premier League summit.
There was no such festive joy for Palace, who were hammered 4-1 by Leeds United at Elland Road. A late Justin Devenny penalty proved a mere consolation in one of Palace’s worst performances of the season. It was surely a factor, though, that due to the difficulty in finding a place for this game in the fixture schedule, the Eagles had to face Leeds just 48 hours after playing their final league-phase game in the Conference League against KuPS.
Ismaïla Sarr missed the Leeds defeat as he jetted off to the African Cup of Nations, while Daniel Muñoz and Daichi Kamada are other headline absentees for Glasner’s threadbare squad.
Arteta will again be without Kai Havertz and Gabriel Magalhães, though the pair could return before the year ends. Ben White and Cristhian Mosquera are expected to be a week further behind in their respective recoveries.
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head
Arsenal may be confident heading into this one, given they have won seven of their last eight meetings with Palace in all competitions (D1).
They have already beaten Glasner’s side this season, too, with Eberechi Eze scoring against his former club in a 1-0 victory in the Premier League at the Emirates in October.
Though Palace eliminated Arsenal in the 1970-71 competition, they have lost their last three EFL Cup meetings (both legs of the 1992-93 semi-final, last season’s quarter-final).
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Arsenal progressed to the semi-finals with victory in 90 minutes across a massive 70.5% of 10,000 pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.
Palace were afforded just a 13.7% chance of winning in normal time, with the draw – which would result in a penalty shoot-out – given a 17.4% likelihood.
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off at the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday night, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction: Gunners Looking to Down Eagles Again in League Cup Quarter-Final Opta Analyst.
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