We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Anfield with our Liverpool vs Man Utd prediction and preview. Can the Reds bounce back from three straight defeats?
Liverpool vs Man Utd: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer makes Liverpool massive favourites to win, with the Reds taking the victory in 73.3% of the simulations. Manchester United are winless in their last nine Premier League games at Anfield. Mohamed Salah has more goal involvements against United than any other player in Premier League history (19)Is this the best or worst time for Manchester United to be facing Liverpool?
On one hand, the defending Premier League champions have lost their last three matches in all competitions. It is the first time in Arne Slot’s managerial career that he has suffered such a fate. Morale may be low for the Reds, their confidence brittle after losses to Crystal Palace, Galatasaray and Chelsea.
But they will be looking to end that run with an emphatic performance here, which does not bode well for the visitors. The key aspect of Liverpool’s losing run is that all three matches were away from home. They have five wins from five in all competitions at Anfield in 2025-26.
United’s form, both against champions and on the road generally, suggests the Reds’ winning run at home should continue.
Ruben Amorim’s side are winless in their last eight Premier League away games (D2 L6) since beating Leicester City 3-0 in March. Not since January, at Fulham, have they won on the road against a team currently in the top flight. The Red Devils last went longer without an away league win in September 1989 under Alex Ferguson (11 matches).
They’ll end a much longer wait of another kind if they return home with three points on Sunday. United won away to reigning Premier League title-holders Manchester City 2-1 last season, but they haven’t beaten the defending English champions away from home in back-to-back league seasons since 1906-07 and 1907-08.
It’s been hard for any manager to win their first two such matches in the Premier League era. Amorim will become just the third if his team wins, after Manuel Pellegrini and Antonio Conte. That’s a serious weight of history to overcome.
United can at least pick from a fairly healthy squad, with Noussair Mazraoui and Lisandro Martínez the only men who should be unavailable. Liverpool continue to with Alisson Becker, though Ryan Gravenberch could feature and Ibrahima Konaté is set to train on Friday after both were previously doubtful.
Another plus for the visitors is that they have a strong defensive record in one sense. Only Arsenal (56) and Newcastle (62) have faced fewer shots than United (64) in the Premier League this season. Liverpool mustered just nine and five goal attempts respectively against the first two sides, so may find it difficult to create chances on Sunday.
However, United are open in a different, arguably more important sense. The Red Devils have the fourth-highest expected goals against figure in the division (10.1). Their average xG per shot faced of 0.16 is the highest of any Premier League side in 2025-26, which explains why. It also shows that the chances they concede are frequently valuable, so likelier to result in goals.
This could help Florian Wirtz, who is looking to register his first goal involvement in the Premier League. The Germany international has drawn a blank despite having nine shots and creating 11 chances – his combined total of 20 is the most of any player yet to score or assist in the competition this term.
Wirtz needs to look for Mohamed Salah to help him break his duck. The Egyptian has more goals (13) and goal involvements (19) against Manchester United than any other player in Premier League history. Only five players have recorded 20+ goal involvements against a single opponent in the competition: Les Ferdinand (20 vs Everton), Alan Shearer (21 vs Everton and 21 vs Leeds), Frank Lampard (21 vs Bolton), Harry Kane (22 vs Leicester) and Wayne Rooney (23 vs Newcastle). If Salah can find some form, Liverpool’s recent issues would quickly fade into history.
A loss here would see Liverpool defeated in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since February 2021 (when they lost four in a row). Those matches occurred behind closed doors though. With a powerful Anfield backing, the Reds will be hard to stop here.
Liverpool vs Man Utd Head-to-Head
Liverpool have lost just one of their last 14 Premier League meetings with Manchester United, winning seven (D6). Their solitary defeat in that sequence came at Old Trafford in August 2022 (2-1). Since the start of 2018-19, this is the fewest defeats any side have suffered against the Red Devils in the competition (minimum three meetings).
United’s misery at Anfield stretches back even further. Their last victory occurred in the first meeting of the Jürgen Klopp era, with Wayne Rooney’s late goal giving the visitors a 1-0 victory in January 2016. Unless they win here, Liverpool will become just the second side to avoid defeat to United in 10 successive Premier League home games after Chelsea between 2002 and 2012.
Liverpool vs Man Utd Prediction
The chances of a Liverpool win are rated at almost three in four.
Arne Slot’s men were victorious in 73.3% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 simulations of the match. They have close to a 90% chance of avoiding defeat, as a United win was the outcome in just 11.2% of the run-throughs.
That leaves 15.5% assigned to a draw, which is how this fixture ended in each of the past two seasons.
Liverpool vs Man Utd Predicted Lineups
Liverpool: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Conor Bradley, Joe Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.
Head coach: Arne Slot
Manchester United: Senne Lammens, Leny Yoro, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw, Amad Diallo, Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Diogo Dalot, Mason Mount, Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko.
Head coach: Ruben Amorim
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Liverpool vs Man Utd Prediction: Will Champions Get Back on Track Against Old Rivals? Opta Analyst.
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