Awarding the prize to another woman this year would make history: it has never gone to a woman two years in a row, and women are vastly under-represented among its laureates -- just 18 out of 121 since it was first awarded in 1901.
Murnane and Krasznahorkai meanwhile have the lowest odds on betting sites, along with India's Amitav Ghosh, whose name sailed up just two days before the announcement.
But “even if they say that they don’t think in terms of representation, you can still look at the list (of past laureates) and see that it’s kind of ‘OK, this year was a European, now we can look a little further afield. And now we go back to Europe. Last year was a woman, let’s choose a man this year’,“ Sveriges Radio culture critic Lina Kalmteg told AFP.
'Bizarre masterpiece'
Christian Kracht, a 58-year-old German-language postmodernist author who writes about pop culture and consumerism, is a favourite in literary circles, he said.
“And that is usually a sure sign,“ he said, adding that the same thing happened when Austrian playwright Elfriede Jelinek won the prize in 2004.
Born in 1939 in Melbourne, his work draws heavily on his own life experiences.
“The question is whether he’ll answer the phone (when the Academy calls), I don’t know if he even has one,“ joked Josefin de Gregorio, literary critic at Sweden’s other main daily Svenska Dagbladet.
“I hope he wins, I want more people to discover his wonderful work,“ de Gregorio said.
'Unthinkable'
The last South American to win was Peru's Mario Vargas Llosa in 2010, and the region could be overdue, Kalmteg told AFP.
With no public shortlist and the prize committee's deliberations sealed for 50 years, it is always difficult to predict which way the Academy is leaning.
“Authors like Han Kang would have been unthinkable five or six years ago,“ he said, noting that she was well-established internationally and only 53, while the Academy previously tended to honour older men.
The 2025 winner, who will take home a $1.2 million cheque, will be announced on Thursday at 1:00 pm (1100 GMT)- AFP
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