For just the second time this century, a Rugby World Cup final will take place without New Zealand, as England and Canada prepare to battle it out at Twickenham in a repeat of the 2014 showpiece. We preview the game with our Women’s Rugby World Cup final prediction.
After a month of drama, emotion and breathtaking rugby, the climax to the 2025 Rugby World Cup is here. Saturday’s double-header at Twickenham promises two enthralling contests: New Zealand and France fighting over bronze, before hosts England meet Canada to decide who will be crowned world champions.
We’ll start with the main event – the final – before turning to the key talking points from the Bronze Final between New Zealand and France.
Canada vs England
And then there were two. England’s progression to the final was widely predicted, and the Red Roses have lived up to expectations on home soil, sweeping past all challengers to reach another World Cup final.
Canada’s semi-final win over New Zealand, however, was about as comprehensive as even the most optimistic of Canuck supporters could have hoped for. Their 15-point margin of victory was the heaviest defeat New Zealand have suffered in either the women’s or men’s World Cups.
As is so often the case in games between teams of this magnitude, the set-piece battle could prove decisive. Canada boast the third-best lineout success rate in the tournament (90%) and are the only team from the pool stage to retain a perfect scrum record (33/33). England, meanwhile, lead the field in opposition scrum success, winning 37% of contests against the head.
At the breakdown, Canada are the only side to have completed their rucks in under two and a half seconds on average (2.43s). England, for their part, specialise in slowing opponents down – only Ireland (3.78s) have forced longer average ruck speeds than the Red Roses (3.34s).
Starring once again for Canada last Friday was Sophie de Goede, whose standout performances have earned her a richly deserved World Rugby Player of the Year nomination. The Saracens lock leads the competition for carries (85), just as she did in 2021 (101), and has seven try involvements (3 tries, 4 assists) – the joint-most of any forward, alongside New Zealand’s Jorja Miller and England prop Kelsey Clifford. She also tops the charts for offloads (11) and lineout takes (36, including three steals).
Joining her on the Player of the Year shortlist is England centre Megan Jones, whose four turnovers against France proved crucial in the semi-final. She also leads all backs for dominant tackles (8). Flanker Sadia Kabeya tops the tournament overall for tackles made (90) and will be key in disrupting Canada’s attacking flow.
Ellie Kildunne, the reigning Player of the Year, continues to dazzle. She beat 13 defenders in the semi-final against France – the most by any player in a single game this tournament – and became the first player to surpass 200 metres gained in a match (228). Kildunne has a habit of striking early too, scoring after just three minutes in the 2021 final.
That day, her try, plus scores from Marlie Packer and an Amy Cokayne hat-trick, weren’t enough to deny New Zealand in front of a raucous Eden Park. This time, with a packed Twickenham behind them, the Red Roses will aim to turn early sparks into lasting glory and deliver the home celebration they’ve been chasing.
New Zealand vs France
New Zealand are still licking their wounds after a crushing defeat to Canada in the semi-finals. Remarkably, that was their first loss at a Rugby World Cup in over a decade, since a pool-stage defeat to Ireland in 2014 (17-14), and just their third overall in the tournament’s history. Missing out on the final will sting, but the Black Ferns will be determined to maintain their proud record of never losing consecutive World Cup matches.
The Bronze Final is familiar territory for France, who will contest it for a seventh straight time. Les Bleues have won five of their previous six at this stage, the only exception a 22-8 defeat to Australia just down the road at Twickenham Stoop in 2010.
For New Zealand, it’s a first-ever Bronze Final, though they did share third place with France at the inaugural 1991 tournament.
Expect a strong effort from both sides to keep the ball alive in this contest. France have averaged 17.4 successful offloads per game so far, the most of any nation, with New Zealand ranking third (13.8). Those offloads have proved effective too, with the Black Ferns assisting the most line breaks from offloads (16) and France assisting the joint-most tries (5, also Canada).
Finding those gaps to exploit may prove harder in this match though, with France and New Zealand each boasting 91.6% tackle success rates. England (91.9%) are the only other side with a rate above 90%. They’ve also been the two most disruptive sides in defence, ranking first and second respectively for turnovers won (France – 48, New Zealand – 34).
While much of the Black Ferns’ class of 2022 are still present in this side, 2025 has been a year of new stars; Jorja Miller and Braxton Sorensen-McGee have both found themselves nominated for World Rugby Women’s Breakthrough Player of the Year.
Sorensen-McGee leads the competition for tries (9) and points (59), with at least one try involvement in every game. Far from just being a prolific finisher, Sorensen-McGee has proven an able distributor too, with her tally of nine line-break assists bettered only by teammate Renee Holmes (10).
France’s Gabrielle Vernier has been just as influential. She also has nine line-break assists, leads the tournament for turnovers (10) and is one of only three players to have evaded over 20 tackles (22), alongside Black Ferns duo Portia Woodman-Wickliffe (25) and Miller (26).
You can do your own analysis on all of the players at this year’s tournament using our Rugby World Cup 2025 Stats Hub.
Canada vs England: Rugby World Cup 2025 Final Preview, Prediction and Key Stats Opta Analyst.
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