Her loss is a blow to Labour: a remarkable backstory of northern woman done good, working her way up from a deprived childhood through the trades union movement to serve as one of the Government’s most senior players, connecting to parts of the Labour coalition and wider electorate Sir Keir Starmer can’t reach.
In Birmingham, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage was gleeful, bringing forward his keynote conference speech by three hours to react to Rayner’s departure.
Her departure also puts Starmer into a near-impossible position of demanding voters pay more taxes – perhaps on their own homes – at the Budget on 26 November, when his deputy failed to pay £40,000 of outstanding tax on her own property. Avoiding the charges of hypocrisy will ripple through every Budget planning meeting.
In her resignation letter to Starmer, Rayner said: “I deeply regret my decision to not seek additional specialist tax advice given both my position as Housing Secretary and my complex family arrangements.
Now a backbencher and no longer bound by the ties of collective responsibility, her period of wound-licking may not last long. Any future intervention into the policy debate will cause a stir.
Rayner has not just resigned from the Government, but also from her position as Labour deputy leader.
Without an opportunity to make a stand against Starmer’s platform, the already alienated left of the party may decide to hotfoot it over to the Greens, or even Jeremy Corbyn’s socialist grouping. It will be a proxy battle for the future of the party post-Starmer.
“It’s a headache we can do without,” one Government source told The i Paper. “If we don’t have a coronation all those who decide to stand will be doing it because they want to be ‘the one after Keir’. That person, whoever they are, is going to be in an incredibly strong position because they become the natural successor and what’s more, they have a fresher mandate from the party than Keir does.”
Making Lammy DPM straight away also prevents a situation where Starmer is under pressure to appoint the winner of the deputy leadership contest if a leftist candidate slips through.
Even if constitutionally the Foreign Secretary ranks higher than the Home Secretary, right now immigration policy is the foremost political concern.
square KITTY DONALDSON Careless Rayner had no choice – Starmer is on the back foot yet again
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Installing Mahmood – who has shown political ankle on reviewing the European Convention on Human Rights – was greeted with relief among Labour MPs nervy about Reform and who have for months been pushing Starmer to go faster.
Still, Starmer would rather not have been forced into the wider reshuffle precipitated by Rayner’s downfall. For weeks Downing Street had been indicating they only wanted a more limited rejig of the lower ranks. But it had become clear late on Thursday evening that she would have to leave Government because she had fallen into the category marked “distraction” even before Magnus had delivered his verdict to Starmer early on Friday.
For her, and for the Prime Minister, it was an ending neither had wanted nor anticipated at the start of the week. Phase one of Starmer’s Government lasted from him winning the general election in July last year until Monday. Phase two lasted less than a week. Welcome to phase three.
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