Private Payrolls +38K vs +75K expected. Prior 83k
Government Payrolls -16K vs -10K prior
Average Earnings MoM +0.3% vs +0.3% expected. Prior 0.3%
Average Workweek Hours 34.2K vs 34.3 expected Prior 34.3
U6 Underemployment 8.1% vs 7.7% prior
Two-month net revision -22KThe market is now fully priced for a September rate cut with about a 3% chance of a 50 bps cut. The larger action is further out the curve where the October meeting is now up to 80% for a cut from about 60% beforehand. For the year ahead, there is 130 bps of easing priced in.
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