Christine Lagarde had signaled in July that the ECB was comfortable holding its key rate at 2%, effectively ending a year of rate cuts. Recent data show the euro zone economy is holding up better than expected, with inflation steady at the 2% target.
While some see a chance of cuts as early as spring 2026, investors have turned more upbeat on the euro zone after summer surveys showed stronger business activity. But policymakers caution this may be temporary, with U.S. buyers front-loading orders to dodge tariffs.
The Bank next meet on September 11:
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