It’s a good way to describe how President Donald Trump is acting when it comes to Russia and Ukraine. Trump promised repeatedly to end the conflict on “day one” of his presidency, but instead made no progress over six months.
Perhaps with this end in mind, he has accelerated his peace-making efforts, hosting Vladimir Putin in Alaska last week, and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky and European leaders in Washington DC today. Trump very obviously wants a peace deal he can call his own. Whatever else he wants, though, is a mystery.
In this confusing and confused picture, though, there is one more element: Vice President JD Vance.
Vance is fresh off the plane from a holiday in Europe – mostly in the Cotswolds in England, and then Trump’s Turnberry golf course in Scotland – but his criticism of the continent has continued unabated. Just last week, Vance told Fox News that Americans were “sick” of spending money to defend Europe and were “done funding” Ukraine’s defence.
That leaves Vance as the unknown quantity in the peace process and in the delicate negotiations intended to take place on Monday. Vance has proven himself more than capable of derailing talks – the minerals deal Zelensky went to DC to sign earlier this year was supposed to have been fully agreed. This time, there isn’t even the outline of a deal.
Chillingly, matters of world peace and international relations may come down to Vance’s personal political calculus.
square IAN BIRRELL Be under no illusion: Trump's betrayal of Ukraine is a shocking tragedy
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Vance is not going to want to do that, or to support it, especially as he keeps an eye to running as president himself in 2028. That means if Vance gets a chance to sabotage a deal that involves American money or personnel going to Ukraine, or America guaranteeing the security of Nato members in its borders, he may do so.
If Trump recommends a deal, Vance has to go along with him, or face total irrelevance as Vice President. In those circumstances, his only option is to publicly support a deal everyone knows he hates. In his own way, Vance is nearly as desperate as his boss.James Ball is the political editor of the New World
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