Fed rate cut pricing cools after the US PPI data ysterday ...Middle East

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Eventually, there has to be some passthrough in costs and the impact of tariffs will have to be redistributed. Otherwise, companies are going to suffer even more in the quarters ahead. And that might be a warning signal for the Fed, in keeping their eye on the inflation meter.

So, what's the takeaway here?

As such, would moving by 25 bps in September be prudent as policy would still be relatively restrictive to deal with supposedly temporary inflation pressures from tariffs while satisfying markets on wanting lower rates to help the economy? It's a fine balance.

Markets will be looking to Powell's speech at Jackson Hole next for some key commentary guidance. However, I'm one to argue that they will be disappointed if anticipating the Fed chair to affirm or confirm expectations for September. But even so, that won't stop markets from sticking with the current pricing until something changes in the data.

And that means it will rest on the next US jobs report on 5 September.

This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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