MUFG says the US dollar is holding onto a higher risk premium as investors weigh lingering uncertainty over a potential dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s leadership and fresh concerns about political interference in US economic data. The caution comes despite a recent easing of trade policy risks.
In FX markets, carry-trade currencies have been among the main beneficiaries, supported by an ongoing decline in market volatility. MUFG pointed out that key measures of FX volatility have dropped to their lowest levels in more than a year, further bolstering demand for higher-yielding currencies.
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