The public broadcaster is returning to the Met Office for its weather information after switching to European forecaster MeteoGroup in 2018.
Experts say the broadcaster may have been erring on the side of caution with overly-negative forecasts, hoping to help people prepare for the worse, as well as avoiding a “Michael Fish moment”.
Research by University of Reading meteorologists – shared with The i Paper last year – showed that BBC Weather predicts colder and wetter weather than often comes to pass.
Jim Dale, founder of the forecasting consultancy British Weather Services, said he expected the BBC service to become “more positive” when it returns to using the Met Office.
“It is generally correct, but they can be pessimistic about choosing rain when there’s a few minutes of rain and the rest of the day is dry.
BBC Weather and the Met Office appear to have taken a different approach to daily summary symbols in recent years.
The Met Office, the state-owned service, has said its day symbols are aimed at giving “the most accurate symbol of the weather possible”.
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However, Dale warned that some people may be frustrated by the BBC Weather app now having exactly the same forecast as Met Office – even if it makes it more accurate.
“They think, ‘the Met Office is saying that, the BBC is saying that’, I’ll go somewhere in between. I actually think the more the merrier, when it comes to forecasts.”
Less confusion for people
Dr Thompson urged the BBC and Met Office to look at how the forecast could “better communicate shifts between different weather patterns – such as transitions from fine weather to unsettled periods”.
The new partnership with the Met Office will look at countering misinformation and disinformation when it comes to both weather and climate, the BBC said.
A Met Office spokesperson said there won’t be any “obvious change” initially because the BBC will only gradually switch services.
“Eventually, BBC and Met Office forecasts will be consistent. We believe this partnership will help deliver the best forecast for our audiences.”
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