Ukraine is fighting a war of attrition against an aggressor that has far greater manpower and is not afraid to squander the lives of its soldiers on Putin’s orders. Ukraine knows it can’t survive without US aid and engagement, despite warm encouragement from Britain and other European allies.
This is because Zelensky knows that Trump represents Ukraine’s only hope of ending the war. Trump knows it too and revels in this power. He enjoys the pomp of one-to-one meetings between superpowers and won’t want to come away from a summit with Putin empty-handed.
Trump didn’t mind. Asked if Putin had to meet the Ukrainian leader, he replied briskly, “No, he doesn’t, no,” adding, “They would like to meet with me, and I’ll do whatever I can to stop the killing.”
Viewed more positively, though, it will be up to Trump – and Trump alone – to secure a peace deal that Ukraine can live with. He still wants that Nobel Prize badly. “You know, we’ve solved five wars,” he told White House reporters this week.
The worst outcome of the summit would be an agreement to halt the aerial war. This would spare Ukrainian civilians from nightly missile attacks on their cities, but leave their soldiers at the mercy of Russian troops on its eastern flank without the drone power to stop them.
But Ukrainians are open to a ceasefire or settlement that would leave occupied territory in Russian hands, given the impossibility of regaining land without more troops and sophisticated weaponry.
It’s not what he boasted – a peace settlement on Day One of his presidency – but for a few weeks this summer, Trump did turn on Putin. He renewed arms shipments to Ukraine and threatened Russia with secondary tariffs on its allies, setting a deadline that expired on Friday.
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Trump described the Russian bombings as “disgusting” and followed up his threat of secondary sanctions this week by rounding on another US ally – India under President Narendra Modi (possibly for not being flattering enough about Trump’s “peace-making” with Pakistan).
We don’t know how successful the Alaska talks will be. “I’ve been disappointed before with this one,” Trump admitted. But he is still trying. And that is something.
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