Equities give back some of the early gains as investors digest US data, tariffs ...Middle East

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As mentioned here, it's a case of US data concerns starting to creep up on markets again. And it's a fine balance now in trying to manage that and any hopeful optimism of Fed easing helping to alleviate the slowing economy.

At this stage, I fear that we'll be in for a rough surprise in terms of US labour market data in Q3. And considering how markets have kept up the narrative of "the economy is booming" to drive the rally in 1H 2025, this might be what triggers a pullback for the months ahead. That especially if the Fed isn't going to rush to cut rates by 50 bps and seeing what is priced in now.

All eyes will be on next week's CPI report and that might be telling of what we could potentially see in the months ahead as well. That especially when you see how tariffs have already impacted Main Street here and also prices data when it comes to the latest PMI reports. Someone has to be paying the costs and if it's not businesses, it will have to be consumers eventually.

This market has largely been driven by the AI boom. And this quarter is going to be a real test to see how the Magnificent 7 is going to hold up this house of cards.

This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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