Over 35% of MSCI EM revenues come from exports, with 13% tied to the U.S., leaving them vulnerable as reciprocal tariffs take effect. UBS estimates the current average U.S. tariff rate of 16% could climb to 21%—up sharply from just 2.4% in 2024—if earlier tariff levels are fully reinstated.
UBS's stress tests suggest tariffs and related economic slowdown could cut EM earnings by 6–9%, yet earnings forecasts have only been trimmed by 3% in recent months. As more downgrades come through, UBS expects this will weigh on EM equity performance going forward.
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J.P. Morgan revises EMFX overweight call, citing overbought signals This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.Hence then, the article about ubs emerging market stocks not fully pricing in tariff risks was published today ( ) and is available on forex live ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
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