Though Musk has provided few policy specifics, his party is expected to focus on House and Senate seats where incumbent Republicans supported Trump’s bill despite advocating fiscal restraint. Political analyst Matt Shoemaker, a former GOP candidate, warned that Musk’s influence could disrupt the 2026 midterms. “With bare majorities in Congress, the Republicans should be worried,“ he told AFP.
Despite Musk’s wealth—estimated at $405 billion—his political spending has not always translated into success. A $20 million investment in a Wisconsin Supreme Court race ended in defeat, highlighting the limits of money and celebrity in politics. Additionally, his appeal may not extend beyond his Silicon Valley base to traditional heartland voters.
Historically, third parties have struggled in the U.S., with only minor successes in the Senate last century. Analysts cite ballot access hurdles—signature requirements, fees, and state regulations—as major obstacles. “No Labels tried and failed spectacularly,“ strategist Matt Klink recalled.
While Musk’s party is unlikely to win seats, experts say it could weaken Republicans by splitting votes in tight races. “Elon’s party won’t win, but it could cost the GOP dearly,“ said crisis PR expert Evan Nierman. - AFP
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