ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI jumps into growth ...Middle East

Note - Hong Kong markets are closed today for a holidayJapan Hayashi: Japan won’t do anything to sacrifice agriculture sector in U.S. trade talksBank of Japan press conference at 5pm Tokyo timeChina Caixin June 2025 Manufacturing PMI 50.4 (expected 49.0, prior 48.3)Federal Reserve Chair Powell is speaking on Tuesday, July 1, 2025PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1534 (vs. estimate at 7.1509)BOJ official: No clear voices from firms citing impact of U.S. trade policy on capex plansJapan final manufacturing PMI for June 2025 comes in at 50.1, from preliminary 50.4Tesla has raised the price on Model 3 long range edition to 285,000 yuanUSD/JPY slips under 143.60 after the Bank of Japan Tankan reportBOJ Tankan Q2 2025: Large Manufacturing Index 13 (vs. expected 10)BNZ forecasts no rate cut from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at the July meetingThe Bank of Japan Tankan report is due soon, here are the Reuters results as a previewAustralian final June 2025 manufacturing PMI 50.6 (prior 51.0)UK BRC Shop Price Index for June 2025: +0.4% y/y (prior –0.1%)Japan to begin seabed rare earth extraction in 2025 to curb China dependenceNew Zealand building permits +10.4% m/m in May (prior -15.6%)US Dollar’s fate hinges on Fed motives, says CommerzbankQSBO NZ business confidence Q2 2025: 22% (prior 19%)Blackrock says global investors reassessing U. strength, diversifying away from US assetsMorgan Stanley expects Brent crude oil to fall to $60 as supply builds"1H" decline of 10.8% for the USD is NOT one hour! Its the fall in one half, ie six monthsForexlive Americas FX news wrap 30 Jun. Month ends with USD at low for year. Yields lowerICYMI - Trump hints at more tariffs on Japan via interview and on his social media outletICYMI - Goldman Sachs brings forward Fed rate cut forecast to September, from DecemberTrade ideas thread - Tuesday, 1 July, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas

A mixed set of results from Japan’s Q2 Bank of Japan Tankan survey offered a cautiously optimistic signal, with the overall tone more positive than expected—not by a wide margin, but enough to suggest resilience in Japanese business sentiment.

In contrast, sentiment among large non-manufacturers dipped slightly, as rising living costs continued to weigh on consumption.

Japan’s final manufacturing PMI for June rose to 50.1 (flash: 50.4; prior: 49.4), marking the first expansion in 13 months, driven by a rebound in output and production optimism.

The USD lost ground early but has since shown a bounce back. EUR/USD rose to poke breifely above 1.1800.

Gold was basically one-way trafiic higher.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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