talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets on Thursday’s fixtures at Royal Ascot for Day 3.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Thursday horse racing tips
ROYAL ASCOT2.30: Charles Darwin 10/11 (1pt) Afjan 9/1 each-way (0.5pt)3.05: Sing Us A Song 7/2 (1.5pts)3.40: Caspi Star 14/1 each-way (1pt)4.20: Trawlerman 2/1 (1pt)5.00: Teroomm 9/1 each-way (1pt)5.35: Detain 7/2 (2pts) Sea Scout 80/1 each-way (0.5pt)Charles Darwin & Afjan
16 runners for this year’s Norfolk Stakes an always entertaining 5f sprint for the two-year-olds looking to make their mark early on.
And it’s Charles Darwin for Ryan Moore and trainer Aidan O’Brien who’s now the odds-on favourite after they’ve taken the first two big juveniles of Royal Ascot, with Gstaad and True Love looking great for the yard.
This colt by No Nay Never has won on good and on soft, over 5f and 6f respectively so it’s interesting to see him back over 5f.
This colt has been a short price for each of his first three runs and may well go shorter than the 10/11 by the time it gets to the off.
It’s hard to rule this horse out purely for the yard and jockey’s form and domination in recent years, including this year’s Royal Ascot.
Afjan made up a load of ground instantly to go from tracking the pack to going out wide and bypassing almost all the field before going on to tackle and eventually go clear of Vardif in France early this month at Chantilly.
Drop back in trip is sure to see him utilise his speed earlier on and clearly has the stamina to keep that momentum going.
It’s tough to go from that to quickly reappearing in another country but may well glide over this ground.
Sing Us A Song
Beat Urban Glimpse at Sandown in April ramping up his potential as a three-year-old with improvement sure to come from that, up in trip especially looking to help.
Wathnan Racing continue to acquire top horses and they’re often ones to note when they make recent purchase, this being one of them.
He was 7/1 yesterday evening when I first picked him out as a potential tip and now he’s 7/2 – and I can’t see past the potential further improvements as a solid contender.
Caspi Star
Looks a huge price for some each-way value in a race that’s tricky to pin down how it’s going to play out.
Catalina Delcarpio is a two-raced filly for trainer Paddy Twomey who’s only been sending out top chances from his yard to Royal Ascot so has garnered plenty of attention today.
But Caspi Star has already shown she’s very good over this distance and level.
Comfortably beaten by Minnie Hauk in the Cheshire Oaks last time out but that filly is a beast.
Ascot could also suit this filly and even won at Musselburgh comfortably to really confirm her ability after also going close to Lady Vivian at Southwell on seasonal debut back in March.
Looks to be going forward and has the benefit of her trainer and jockey being in great recent form with strike rates at 20%.
Trawlerman
This is a huge renewal of the Ascot Gold Cup, contested over 2m4f.
It’s really the focus on Illinois and Trawlerman.
The former, beat Al Qareem nicely at Chester and that form has been franked even further.
The four-year-old is clearly a star and has only recently lost to the likes of Los Angeles and Jan Brueghel.
That said, will he really last over 2m4f in comparison to the likes of Trawlerman?
This horse beat Coltrane by five lengths at Sandown in May at Sandown, doing so with plenty more in hand too.
He placed in this race last year by a length to Kyprios so that is a bit more of a certainty and less of a worry to the O’Brien-trained horse, but it’s always tough back against that kind of a favourite.
Teroomm
Tipped this horse to win at Haydock when 3/1 favourite and he’s continued to prove he’s capable of more.
The progressive three-year-old is a huge price for this despite his hattrick of wins behind him.
Goes well on good to firm and over a mile and the only reason he’s 9/1 is that there’s so many top runners for this huge 30-runner handicap.
Detain & Sea Scout
One that did stand out to me at a huge price and a bit of a punt is Sea Scout trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.
At 80/1 he’s worth backing each-way for small stakes for a few reasons.
He beat Trinity College when 40/1 at Epsom in April but is mostly being ruled out for failing to fire since then.
But his two races have been huge step ups in the Dubai Dante Stakes, where he placed just five lengths off of Pride Of Arras, so still respectable.
Then stepping up to 1m4f for the first time, again a fair excuse especially up into a Group 1, was 11th of 18 in the Derby.
There’s still plenty of hope for this horse who has shown glimpses of his ability and could well be one to surprise.
It would be one of those where pundits aren’t too surprised given that win at Epsom, but still shocked with his form after to then go and win at Ascot.
But then you have a more sure thing, in Detain who has shown plenty of ability this season and should win this nicely.
He stayed on in the final furlong well despite being short of room prior to place a close sixth at Longchamp.
Then was a closer third in the Group 1 Prix du Jockey Club on his first time racing over 1m2f, so this should be his for the taking.
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Tom Lunn’s Horse Racing Profit & Loss
April ’25: +28.79pts From Nov ’24: +101.59pts From May ’24: +255.54pts From July ’23: +395.01ptsAll odds correct at time of writing
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