Geopolitically, the events of the first half of 2025 strongly indicate that seismic change is coming to Europe. From the diplomatic wrangling over the end of the Russia-Ukraine war to relations with the Trump administration in the US, Europe’s leaders face a number of serious and pressing dilemmas. One reason the present moment is so pivotal is that a number of major shaping factors have converged at precisely the same time, a kind of ‘great conjunction’ that signals the close of a number of historical cycles and patterns. One…
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