Key Points:
BofA identifies a notable negative EUR exposure among corporates, meaning many are short EUR or reliant on weak EUR scenarios.
If EUR/USD strength persists, corporates may be forced to hedge more actively, potentially reinforcing EUR upside in a nonlinear and counterintuitive way due to flow imbalances.
Corporate FX exposure in EUR/USD is a latent market driver. If the euro continues to rally, underhedged corporates may accelerate demand for EUR hedges, introducing a positive feedback loop that could drive further EUR strength, especially in thin liquidity environments.
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