Trzaskowski placed first with 31.2% of the vote, ahead of Karol Nawrocki, the candidate backed by the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) party, who had 29.7%, according to an Ipsos late poll. The gap was much narrower than the 4-7 percentage points seen in opinion polls before the vote.
“We are going for victory. I said that it would be close and it is close,“ Trzaskowski told supporters. “There is a lot, a lot, of work ahead of us and we need determination.”
“We have to win these elections so that there is no monopoly of power of one political group, so that there is no monolithic power in Poland,“ he said.
Far-right candidates Slawomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun scored more than 21% combined, a historically high score.
Mentzen stopped short of immediately endorsing Nawrocki.
Stanley Bill, Professor of Polish Studies at the University of Cambridge, said the combined strong showing of nationalist and far-right parties meant the results were “a disappointment for the Trzaskowski camp and put wind in the sails of Nawrocki.”
Turnout was 66.8% according to the late poll.
PRESIDENTIAL VETO
However, if Nawrocki wins, the impasse that has existed since Tusk became prime minister in 2023 would be set to continue. Until now, PiS-ally President Andrzej Duda has stymied Tusk's efforts.
One more updated poll that takes into account partial official results will be published later during the night.
Trzaskowski has pledged to cement Poland's role as a major player at the heart of European policymaking and work with the government to roll back PiS's judicial changes.
Nawrocki casts the election as a chance to stop Tusk achieving unchecked power and push back against liberal values represented by Trzaskowski, who as Warsaw mayor was a patron of LGBT marches and took down Christian crosses from public buildings.
He has said Polish citizens should get priority in public services and criticised Kyiv's attitude to exhumations of the remains of Poles killed by Ukrainian nationalists during World War Two.
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