BOJ expected to pause rate hikes through September amid tariffs uncertainty - poll ...Middle East

59 of 62 economists (95%) see no change to interest rates in June meeting39 of 58 economists (67%) see interest rates staying unchanged in Q3 (previously 36%)30 of 58 economists (52%) see at least one more rate hike by year-endThe median prediction for end-September rate is now 0.50% (previously 0.75%)The median prediction for year-end rate is 0.75% (unchanged)16 of 29 economists (55%) either strongly or somewhat approve of the Japanese government's approach to tariff negotiations with the US

In terms of market pricing, traders are seeing ~98% odds of no change in the upcoming meeting in June. As for the year itself, there's only ~17 bps priced in currently by the final meeting in December. So, that fits with the above view somewhat - at least through Q3.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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