Deutsche Bank European Central Bank preview - cut this week and plenty more after that ...Middle East

ECB to continue to cut rates on January 30, with another 25bp reduction in the policy rate to 2.75%expect the main planks of the policy stance to be unchanged from December

DB's "baseline" forecast on the ECB remains unchanged, expecting the Bank to cut by 25bp at each of the four Governing Council meetings in H1 of 2025:

January 29 - 30March 5 - 6April 16 - 17June 4 - 5policy rate to hit 2% by mid-year

terminal rate of 1.5% to be hit at year end, will be a touch below neutral

DB's easings call based on:

assumption of below-trend growthmoderately below target inflationinflation risks are skewed to the downside This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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