Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.
For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.
Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.
(Updated through UFC Fight Night 249)
Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Result: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04 Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Result: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56 Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160
Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Result: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215
Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Result: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215
Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Result: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31 Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180
UFC Fight Night 249 upsets
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56 Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31 Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04 Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)Upcoming events
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