Around 6.3 million homes and businesses are located in areas at risk of flooding from one or a combination of rivers, the sea and surface water, up from 5.5 million when the last assessment was conducted in 2018.
The models, published as the country cleans up from deadly storms Bert and Darragh, use “cutting-edge” methods that integrate detailed local data, such as new buildings, to make the predictions.
The assessments will be used by the government, Environment Agency and local communities to improve flood resilience.
“These changes are almost entirely due to significant improvements in the Environment Agency’s data, modelling and use of technology providing a more accurate assessment of surface water flood risk,“ said the agency.
The updated assessment also showed that 3,500 properties are expected to be in areas at risk of coastal erosion in the period up to 2055, increasing to about 10,100 properties by the end of the century.
As global temperatures rise because of climate change, scientists have warned that heatwaves and other extreme weather events, such as severe flooding, droughts and wildfires will become more frequent and more intense.
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