Fundamental OverviewLast week, despite the higher-than-expected inflation figures and a less dovish Powell, the US Dollar couldn’t extend the gains. The market’s pricing remained largely unchanged at three rate cuts by the end of 2025.This might be a signal that the market is now fine with the current pricing, and we will need stronger reasons to price out the remaining rate cuts. This could open the door for some pullbacks and general US Dollar weakness.On the EUR side, not much has changed although the probabilities for a 50 bps cut in December fell to 24% from 31% last week and a total of 139 bps of easing by the end of 2025. This could turn out to be too much if the data picks up with th
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