A popular political parlor game around this time in a presidential election is to speculate not only about which party will capture the White House, but how that presidential candidate’s success may, or may not, affect down ballot races for the U.S. House and Senate — the so-called coattail effect. The word “coattail” has been around since at least 1600, defined as the long, back flaps on a gentleman’s coat. Today, we associate that mode of dress mostly with formal wear (e.g., white tie and tails). The political use of the term is of more recent vintage. In an 1848 speech, then first-term Rep. Abraham Lincoln (Whig-Ill.) rebutted Democratic criticisms that the Whigs were hiding unde
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