Unlucky Louie asked me if a defender’s signal can affect the odds on whether a finesse will win. In a penny game, Louie had played at today’s slam. West led the queen of trumps, and Louie took the K-A. East threw the ten of clubs. “I led the king and a second diamond next,” Louie said, “and West discarded. When I took dummy’s queen, I could finesse in either hearts or clubs for my 12th trick. East’s ten of clubs seemed to say he had the king, so I led a heart to my jack — and went down. West had the king of clubs all along. Didn’t East’s signal change the odds?” RESERVE Not in theory. Louie could have cashed the K-A of hearts with the club finesse in reserve if the queen didn’t fall. But his
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