Harris is catching up after a predicted Trump ‘landslide’ — but can we trust the polls?  ...Middle East

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Until Kamala Harris emerged as the Democrats’ presumptive nominee for president, talk of an election “landslide” for Donald Trump — however unlikely — was slowly building. In fact, now polls are reporting she’s ahead. What gives?  A check on such speculation is the notable absence of a rout in U.S. presidential elections since 1984, when Ronald Reagan defeated Walter Mondale in a 49-state landslide. Reagan won the popular vote by 18 percentage points, the last presidential race decided by more than 10 points, which is a demarcation of an election “landslide.”  Although presidential campaigns have been decidedly closer in the 40 years since the Reagan-Mondale race, it is nonetheless

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