Could the ‘13 Keys to the White House’ be wrong in 2024? ...Middle East

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Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appear on track to be on presidential ballots come Election Day. Daily polls suggest that this will be a close race. Yet Allan Lichtman, the noted historian and election prognosticator, is unimpressed with polls as predictive tools (he is mostly right). Instead, he relies on 13 keys to predict the winner of the election.  Lichtman (a historian and long-standing Democrat) has been vociferous in criticizing the Democratic Party for abandoning President Biden as their candidate, given that it flips one additional key to false (incumbency), providing additional headwinds for Democrats to retain the White House. Is he correct? Certainly, based on the defini

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