TYPES OF YIELD CURVE STEEPENINGThe yield curve is regarded as the best leading indicator of a recession. In fact, when short term rates are above the long term rates, it signals that the market expects a slowdown in the economy and eventually the Fed cutting interest rates.Since the markets anticipate rate cuts well in advance of the actual central bank move, the yield curve reaches the maximum point of the inversion well before the economic downturn and starts to un-invert and steepen just prior to and during the recession.The nature of the yield curve steepening can give different signals though. Generally, recessions are preceded by a “bull steepening” which is when short term rates fall
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