On the global leaderboard, he’s 0.7 strokes per round clear of second place in current FRACAS and 0.5 strokes per round clear of second in long-term FRACAS. He is playing sustained, dominant golf. So it should come as no surprise that Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 1 golfer, is (once again) our FRACAS-powered supercomputer’s pick to win a major. That being said, his modeled win percentage of 7.4% for the PGA Championship seems low, relative to what you would expect given his current form. Valhalla Golf Club is kind of a wonky course in that there isn’t really a stretch where you have the opportunity to separate yourself from the field. There is no “back nine at Augusta” at Val
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