TD preview the US CPI report due Wednesday ...Middle East

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Previewing the US CPI data due Wednesday. headline likely +0.3% m/m despite another notable gain in energy pricesexpect core inflation slowed to a "soft" 0.3% m/m pace after posting a third consecutive strong gain at 0.4% in Marchunrounded core CPI forecast at 0.27% m/m suggests larger risks for a dovish surprise to a rounded 0.2% increaseRetail sales also:expect retail sales to rise for a third consecutive month in April, opening the second quarter on a firm footingvolatile auto and gasoline stations sales will likely provide a big boost to growththe control group also helping to juice the headline—though down vs Marchproject sales in bars/restaurants—the report's only services component—to

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