Former President Trump led President Biden in a recent national New York Times/Siena College poll by 5 percentage points, prompting a campaign spokesperson for the Democrat to argue polling “consistently overestimates Donald Trump while underestimating Joe Biden.” The remark is emblematic of a deeper skepticism of Trump’s strength in certain Democratic circles. Biden allies point to primary results this cycle that show Trump underperforming his polling numbers and failing to capture moderate voters, as well as nonpresidential cycles under Biden where Democrats outperformed projections. “We’ve got a long way to go. We’ve got a lot of work to do. But I think everyone in this town …
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