The Russian invasion of Ukraine has made the Western world aware of the perils of a conflict across the Taiwan Strait. Some observers worry that a crisis will occur as early as 2027, while others speculate about later dates as far off as 2049, the 100th anniversary of the establishment of the People’s Republic of China, by which time China’s leaders surely hope to restore the nation’s territorial integrity. In the interim, of course, a tragic accident could trigger unscheduled kinetic action. Uncertainty prevails, particularly when one takes into account changing domestic circumstances in Taiwan, China and the United States. Taiwan’s upcoming presidential election in January is only th
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