It is no secret that Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro’s role model in politics is former U.S. president Donald Trump. Like Trump, Bolsonaro spent most of his term warning about election fraud, including the election he won. Like Trump, Bolsonaro is an incumbent president whose highly divisive politics put him behind in the polls, in the uncommon and uncomfortable spot of not being the favorite to win the election against a well-known challenger. In the long history of U.S. democracy, incumbent presidents occasionally have failed to be reelected, but in Brazil — since reelection was established in 1997 — never has a present failed to win reelection. So, like his U.S. role model, incum
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