China’s live-fire drills in six maritime areas surrounding Taiwan were the biggest interruptions to stability across the Taiwan Strait since 1996. The past few weeks, which began with speculation around whether House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) would visit Taiwan during a trip to Asia, will be remembered as the fourth Taiwan Strait crisis. But what will – and should – come next is unclear. In the United States, one popular viewpoint is that the latest cycle of provocation and counter-provocation is a warning that the Taiwan dispute must be “Americanized.” The risk of war is now so great, the argument goes, that the U.S. must do its utmost to convince Chinese leaders that an invasio
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